35 Comments

Beautifully written, Rachel. Deeply grateful for your voice in these times.

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"This is why, despite the economies of the global north recovering since the financial crash of 2008, people’s lives are getting worse: the money is rushing to the top, not the bottom. "

In addition, declining EROEI is in effect reducing the value of what money there is at the bottom. With a world average EROEI now down to 6:1, we are but one step away from a pre-1750 agrarian civilisation, except that we haven't the right infrastructure (eg lots of draught horses) for that.

Thus the reason the NHS is collapsing, potholes are increasing, teenagers getting cancer regularly, is not just Tory perfidity and neo-liberal narcissist ideology, but the increasing cost of energy used to extract and produce the energy we do use.

And you know nothing will be done about it. To quote John Kenneth Galbraith:

“People of privilege will always risk their complete destruction rather than surrender any material portion of their privilege.”

So even if your privilege only extends to an 80" TV, Universal Credit and feral children with scrambler bikes, you will defend that to ruin rather than choose to accept a lower standard of living now, that is going to be imposed on you anyway at a later point.

2026 will be an interesting year. The world's economy will collapse (they occur every 18 years), coinciding with warming reaching +2*C above the 1850 baseline. Though this time the banks may too big to save, with world debt now bigger than world GDP.

Welcome to hell indeed.

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I think the Chinese model of socialism with Chinese characteristics (placing more emphasis on harmony and quality of life) has lifted millions out of poverty and the wealth created by consuming energy has been shared out.

However, they're burning a lot of coal to restructure into electric and growth even if, unlike the imperial model benefiting the 1% at the expense of the 99%, the wealth is share; it will have the same effect on the planet. Fair or unfair growth will mean we all suffer (unequally between Global North and South) from the climate crisis.

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These economies that have created billionaires and ruined the planet will end. It's all created by fossil fuels, which are becoming ever harder to extract and therefore more expensive to extract. At some point, there won't be any economically viable oil to be found. And guess what? All of that nice "clean" renewable energy we're trying to build? It requires massive amounts of fossil fuels. Economic growth is ending one way or another. In fact, it's going to be a complete crash.

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Very well written, Rachel. I couldn't stop reading if I'd wanted to. It is so sad what we're doing to ourselves and our home. Thank you for the important work you're doing.

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Nice and true one.

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Banging article Rachel, on point and powerful. Thank you

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Thank you, Sandy!

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“Economies are merely ways of human organisation, unlimited in their potential diversity, and compromised only by humankind’s lack of integrity and crisis of creativity. “

An alternative: economies are our uniquely human way of being in an artificial world that we make for ourselves, through our technologies, out of the world of Nature into which we all are born, as mutual aid societies for sharing an abundance of technology solutions to the everyday problems of everyday people living our best lives under the circumstances every day, through networks of connections for enterprise and exchange that are energized by money as a legal instrument that facilitates exchanges between people separated by distances of time, space and social connection, and also the social energy that directs the flow of individual insight and initiative towards some activities, and away from others, to innovate a safe and dignified house for humanity within built environments of Urban, Rural, Curated and Left-Alone landscapes along the creative edge of a constantly changing Human-Nature partnership, choosing new beginnings from time to time, and over time, to fit the changing times, normatively, through Civil Society, predistributively, through Finance, distributively, through Enterprise, and redistributively, through Government.

Money is the social energy that holds our house together. Or tears it apart.

Finance is how society decides where the money can, should and will be made to go, to hold our house together, when the money goes to the right places, to shape the right enterprises in the right way for shaping the right technologies for shaping the right choices for shaping the right economy for shaping a cohesive society and keeping it ongoing, united in shared hope for a dignified future quality of life; or to break it apart when it goes to the wrong places.

How well do we know Finance?

Not well at all.

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Finance is NOT how SOCIETY decides.... It is how the financial elites decide how society should be organized in the interests of the financial elites. That does not bode well for creating or sustaining a 'cohesive society.' Finance, like money, electricity, and water, is inherently a public utility, and when it is privately organized, especially at scale, society loses and the billionaires win, what? Money, which keeps the rest of us sliding into poverty until we mobilize for change.

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Nate Hagens, of the Great Simplification podcast, has numerous times said that the present mode of world economy utterly and completely depends upon "negative economic externalties" -- which are mostly in the form of pollution and destruction of ecosystems and the biosphere. I believe he is quite correct, which means that we'd have to "internalize" those "externalities" to come into right relationship with this living planet, Earth.

One place he said it was in one of his several talks with Daniel Schmachtenberger.:

Daniel Schmachtenberger (00:40:30):

"So we didn't get to yet... We just started to touch on the fact that the economy as we understand it, is

incompatible with the biosphere, that the production of goods and services, that profit is both a

measure of production but also a measure of extraction and externalization, that until the economy

does not have extraction and internalization [This should be externalization - JRM]] as realities within it, then it's accounting is wrong. It's basically just got messed up books because it's unrenewably taking from the balance sheet of natureand it's unrenewably taking assets from the balance sheet of nature and unrenewably putting costs into the balance sheet of nature, not accounting for it in a way that breaks that if you just even get the accounting right, then you start to have an economy that makes sense. But that does require changes that would look nothing like capitalism, socialism or any type of system we've had to date."

Nate Hagens (00:41:27):

"Well, for one reason, because if you to use ecological economics terms, if you internalize all the

externalities, most industries on the planet would be unprofitable. So if you try to close loop this stuff,

who bears the cost of that? Because the closed loop stuff is going to be a lot more costly and so either

the governments bear that cost or consumers bear it with much higher prices or using less stuff and

we're not going to voluntarily on mass choose that."

-- Source: https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/42-daniel-schmachtenberger

___________

I'm hoping that we will voluntarily choose that, of course. Because the alternative is a catastrophic collapse not only of the economy but also of the biosphere itself.

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Quite right. Although, I do think that even ecological economics cannot fully escape the 'logic of economics' and its fundamentally unecological character.

We need to start from OUTSIDE economics, with human wellbeing as the core value, overriding money and calculation, which must become subordinate to human progress.

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Well, Robert Christie, I certainly agree that your idea moves us a step in the right direction, but "human well-being" is too small a frame as well. I could say that biospheric well-being is much further toward where we should be heading than anything as anthropocentric as "human well-being" at the center of our lives. But shit. I may as well cash it all out here and say that what's needed is a focus on the well-being of all that is, without any exceptions. Only that'll get us out of the orbit of Moloch and Wetico.

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Quite so. I sometimes implicitly assume the wellbeing of the entire Earth System is a necessary condition for and an integral part of human wellbeing. We are only a part, or were, of the Earth System we have mentally abandoned for pseudo-comfort of industrial consumerism and its inherent detachment for Nature.

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Human wellbeing and the biosphere's well-being are intertwined in precisely this way which you tend to take as implicit. But it's better that we make it explicit when and where we can, because so many of our fellow humans don't take it to be implicit.

Ultimately, this is a kind of "spiritual crisis" we're all going through. Not in the sense of "spirit" as otherworldly or "beyond". But rather with "spirituality" being about a deeply felt experience of not being separate from one another and other living beings. This feeling and belief in separateness is at the root of all of our Ills, I believe.

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So, what to do?

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I never thought of this before, but we reify a system ('the economy') that is based on objectification (e.g., of nature as resource instead of life source, not to mention beauty, etc) and commodification. So it is Cartesian dualism squared or even cubed. Thus begetting exponential growth. Sigh.... We have to evolve to the point of seeing everything as consciousness, and the main currency being love, begetting an economy based upon caring instead of exploiting. Then there would no longer be any reason for war. You know that is what the non-dualopoly political parties expound (e.g., RFK, Cornell West, and Marianne Williamson). I wish they'd come together as one movement instead of being balkanized by special interest politics. We need a political movement that is based on solidarity instead of growth.

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Rachel, this post makes me wonder whether you envision future episodes around commoning? Seems to me there is much practical hope to be found in its logic of stewardship, limits, and cooperation – and its mycelial network of projects. I know a few episodes have touched on it of course, and I've likely missed more.

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Climate crisis - I'm unable to observe the actual existence of one in my neck of the woods. There are some minor irregularities in weather patterns, but nothing that would be nowhere near to what one would understand under the term 'crisis'. Anybody sees anything resembling a crisis? I'm all ears!

Limits to growth - much has been said about that; alas, neither the proponents nor the opponents care to elucidate what is meant by growth and limits. Ditto other terms, which are employed liberally without actually defining them, so we'd be kinda on the same page as to what we're talking about.

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Highly suggest doing some more research into the climate crisis.

Rachel’s podcast is a good place to start!

Just because it’s not apparently happening in your neighbourhood now (some parts of the world are less susceptible / more buffered than others) doesn’t mean it isn’t in full flow elsewhere and will be coming to you rather soon...

I won’t exhaust myself with a list, but go look at satellite images and timelapses of glacier retreat. Or stats on oceanic heatwaves. Or coral reefs. Or wildfire prevalence and risk.

Have fun 👍🌏

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It would behoove you to process what you read before responding to it.

I'm sure there are all sorts of phenomena happening, which is the case pretty much all the time, but is there a crisis in progress? Or rather, how about defining a crisis to begin with to have a general idea what we're discussing, eh?

I wouldn't know shit from satellite images and I suspect that you wouldn't either. I don't think I'll be looking at them.

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Unfortunately I think I processed correctly. No intention to upset you- but I suggest listening to all of the people who’s actual job it is to look into and research and discuss climate. They all use the word ‘crisis’ because it accurately defines the time of total mayhem we are already in and hurling ourselves ever deeper with infinite growth economies. Tipping points, locked in heating, etc etc are actual scientifically relevant terms.

I hope you are here because you are genuinely interested to learn something. Best wishes 🙏

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There is no total mayhem, stop being hysterically paranoid. I'm sick and tired of this hypertrophied language. A half of the people who research and discuss climate are shitheads who allow themselves to be used to push all sorts of agendas, using this precise hysterical language.

Fuck crisis. Fuck it already. Yeah, there are all sorts of predicaments that will have to be addressed, but I'm not gonna run around whining about a crisis, impending doom.

Infinite growth economies - ever given a thought as to what any of these three terms actually represent? I doubt that most people have. What's growth? What economy? What's infinite in regard to these two?

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Great article, Rachel. But surprising to see such an insightful writer as yourself still using sexist language like mankind and man. Please replace with humankind or humanity, or use the plural form.

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You are lucky to be a speaker of a language where words aren't assigned the masculine and feminine genders. If you were, you'd go apeshit fucking ballistic! Imagine how sexist it would be to have to refer to a chair as a she and to a table as a he. If you spoke multiple languages, the moon might be a he in one and a she in the other. You wouldn't cease to be offended!

Actually, the chances are kinda high that were that the case, you would be wise enough not to consider the man in mankind sexist because it ain't.

Get a life. And kindly refrain commenting on other people's choice of words. If you don't like it, don't read it.

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I would not be surprised if her use of ‘man’ is quite deliberate at times...

After all, who is it driving this earth ship into hell?

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It is indeed deliberate. Thank you!

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Well said, Rachel. A few thoughts to add.

First, I am not convinced that all 'wealth' has a material basis. That is why I call much of the stock market gains 'phantom wealth.' It is a product of the operation of the financial markets themselves, their manipulation, and the ability of some to regularly generate 'wealth' from that manipulation, irresepective of any material value or gain underlying the equities involved. We must also consider the other layer of power that Marjorie Kelly calls "wealth supremacy." Power breeds more power.

However, it all requires increasing use of energy, and the AI models may just blow it all out of the water much sooner than we expect because of the massive processing required for the continuation of that rapidly growing fad of the technocratic class.

Most find it extremely difficult to acknowledge that money and economics are both human constructions and any 'laws' we may think we observe are if nothing else, historically situational tendencies. That means, of course, that all the obsession with economic growth is a fantasy sustained by the propaganda of the domination culture that drives finance capital, After all, as John Lennon said shortly before he was assassinated, "they have all the money, all the guns."

That domination sustains the myth of economic growth as the measure of 'progress' without reference to equitable distribution or any matter of justice. And that domination is what we must overcome...

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The enigma of this is the poor do seem to need economic growth. They need good food, safe housing, energy, education, medicine etc. I don't see any reason why they can't have these things - as long as we are talking about 'clean' energy and 'clean food' and we try to build New Urbanism / Ecocities instead of suburbia. So while I'm happy to call myself a climate activist and New Urbanist - I'm not sure I'm ready to say I'm a degrowther? Yet? Because while I'm sympathetic to many of the aims of Degrowthers - I'm not quite sure what that movement would do to the broader economy and the chances of the poor having what they need.

Not that I'm promoting "infinite growth" either. Once we give everyone everything they need - especially educating little girls to empower the women they grow into - the Demographic Transition kicks in and people start having less babies. If we get the welfare settings right, we could be talking 6 billion by 2100! Now THAT is Degrowth! The economy seems to have some of the tools it needs to adjust to less consumers over the coming generations.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steady-state_economy

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