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Henrik Nordborg's avatar

Thanks, Rachel, for this excellent article on a very important topic. It requires a much longer response (which I will hopefully deliver soon) but here are some quick thoughts: The best fictional metaphor for oil is the Ring of Power in Tolkien (or Der Ring des Niebelungen by Wagner). It is the magic weapon that bestows enormous power on its owner but will eventually destroy him. Nobody dares to throw away the weapon because it would make him powerless, and there is a risk that somebody else will pick it up. Likewise, as long as nations consider themselves competitors who rely on armies to stay on top, we can forget decarbonization. It is not only about the fossil fuels used by the armies. You need to maintain an industry that can be converted into manufacturing weapons if need be. The BRICS nations, with half the military budget of the US, are challenging the empire. Their only chance to win this gamble is to stay united and stay strong, as any sign of disunity or weakness would be exploited by the Global North. What I like about the Kazan declaration is the conciliatory tone. On its 33 pages, it uses the word military three times, all related to illegal military actions in the Middle East. In contrast, the US National Security Strategy refers to the military 49 times on 47 pages. The latter also contains statements like “Our military remains unmatched—and we will keep it that way.” We need a peaceful world order based on global justice and international collaboration. This will not happen overnight, but it is our only hope. My main worry is the Global North will try to defeat BRICS with military means, rather than engaging in a constructive dialogue. BTW, Global Climate Compensation tries to cut the Gordian knot by destroying the Ring of Power, i.e., to make fossil fuels less valuable. As I pointed out recently, the BRICS nations would agree to this. The Global North would not. (https://www.global-climate-compensation.org/p/we-have-created-a-monster-and-it)

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Mark Bevis's avatar

“We believe that the efficient use of all energy sources is critical for just energy transitions towards more flexible, resilient and sustainable energy systems and in this regard we uphold the principle of technological neutrality, i.e. using all available fuels, energy sources and technologies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions which includes, but is not limited to fossil fuels with abatement and removal technologies, biofuels, natural gas and LPG, hydrogen and its derivatives, including ammonia, nuclear and renewable power, etc.”5

So, more self-delusion from people who aren't trained to think of anything better. No better than leaders of western nations. Just another recipe for more carbon emissions, more resource depletion, more complexity and more fragility, all signs presented by Tainter. Not a mention of the environment nor ecology I take it?

Was watching another William Rees interview, and he emphasises again the concept of little lifeboats, where round the world pockets of resilience and ecological restoration are happening, little nodes where the survival of the human race MIGHT occur after the imminent collapse of global industrial

civilisation.

This civilisation is over, people should just get over it, stop trying to fix it, amend it, adjust it, improve it. Just do away with it. It's not the end of the world, just the end of a human construct. There will be something else, some other civilisation perhaps, but we don't yet know what that will be. Rather than fear that change the species ought to perhaps embrace that change and see where the chips fall.

The saddest part is the bulk of the 8.7 million or so other species that will go extinct because of what we've done.

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